Master the Markets with Quantitative Data

Our proprietary research suite is designed to strip away market noise and replace it with mathematical conviction. By utilizing a sophisticated scoring engine that ranks equities on both a linear and non-linear basis, we pinpoint the highest-probability trades at the most optimal times.

True Value of The Oddsmaker Score

The Oddsmaker Score is our flagship comprehensive ranking system, serving as a high-precision filter for the investment universe. It programmatically screens stocks through seven core fundamental factors, utilizing a scoring range that rewards momentum and penalizes bloated valuations.

The Odds Are Not Equal.

Most stocks create average returns.

A small percentage create extraordinary wealth.

An equally small percentage destroy it.

The Oddsmaker systematically ranks thousands of companies to identify both.

We Try to Find the Best 1%.

While Avoiding the Worst 1%.

  • How it works: The engine assigns points based on rigorous data thresholds, such as awarding +25 points for revenue growth above 25% or applying a -3x multiplier (up to -100 points) when Enterprise Value to Sales exceeds 20x.

  • The Value: By analyzing everything from Return on Equity (ROE) to LTM share buybacks, the score identifies price-to-target asymmetries where the market price sits significantly below analyst targets (scoring as high as +35 points).

  • Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): The engine actively hunts for elite compounders. It awards a maximum of +25 points for high-velocity top-line expansion (LTM revenue growth >25%) and an immediate +35 points when the current stock price sits severely discounted below sell-side target prices (below 50% of target). It layers on another +25 points for dominant profitability (Return on Equity >20%) and automatically adds a +15 point Long Bonus if the company couples this high ROE with an elite EBITDA margin above 35%.

  • Finding the Worst (Shorts): The system ruthlessly filters out operational decay. It aggressively docks -25 points for negative revenue growth (declining -10% or worse) and strips away -35 points for deeply negative EBITDA margins. If a company is burning capital with an ROE below -20%, it receives another -25 points, instantly dragging it into the bottom tier.

Some Elements to the Oddsmaker Model

Column Group

What It Measures

Symbol / Company / Sector / Price

Identity + current market reference

Score / Percentiles

Final ranking and relative market position

Score Without Bonus

Pure base-model score

Score Without Short Scale

Base score plus bonuses before squeeze adjustment

OM Target / Price-to-Target

Price/value dislocation

Value / Growth / Quality / Moat / Balance Sheet / Timing

Letter-grade factor buckets

Raw Scores + Percentiles

Underlying mathematical inputs

EV/Sales / EV/EBITDA / FCF/EV

Valuation and cash-flow yield

Revenue Growth / EBITDA Growth

Operating momentum

FCF Margin / EBITDA Margin / ROE / ROIC

Quality and profitability

Short Interest / Beta / 200D SMA

Technical and risk variables

Buybacks / Share Count Growth

Capital allocation and dilution

Stock-Based Comp % Revenue

Dilution / compensation quality

R&D / S&M Expense

Reinvestment and cost structure

Flags

Screening labels such as Most Expensive, Hidden Innovators, Junk Yard, Safety Net

Top 20 Most Unique Mathematical Elements

#

Element

Why It Matters

1

Final Oddsmaker Score vs. Score Without Bonus

Separates pure fundamentals from overlays

2

Oddsmaker Score Without Short Scale

Shows what the score was before technical/squeeze adjustment

3

Percentile Ranking

Converts raw scores into relative market position

4

OM Target

Converts model output into implied price/value

5

Price / OM Target

Measures upside or downside mathematically

6

Price / Sell-Side Target

Identifies consensus dislocation

7

EV/Sales Penalty

Penalizes narrative stocks with extreme revenue multiples

8

Forward EV/EBITDA

Rewards future cash-flow cheapness

9

FCF/EV Yield

Measures true owner earnings yield

10

Revenue Growth Forward

Captures growth momentum

11

EBITDA Growth

Captures operating leverage

12

FCF Margin

Measures cash conversion quality

13

ROE / ROIC

Measures capital efficiency

14

EBITDA Margin

Measures business model strength

15

Buyback Variable

Rewards shareholder-friendly capital allocation

16

Share Count Growth 1Y / 3Y / 5Y

Detects dilution and per-share value destruction

17

Short Interest

Adds technical pressure / squeeze risk

18

5-Day Volume / Market Cap Logic

Detects speculative trading intensity

19

Squeeze Watch

Penalizes unstable bottom-decile names with sharp price action

20

Stock-Based Comp % Revenue

Identifies dilution hidden inside “growth” stories

True Value of The Oddsmaker Super Multiple Predictor

This tool is designed to identify the "inflection point" where a company’s valuation is likely to expand or contract. By layering non-linear technical risk multipliers over fundamental data, we predict how market multiples will shift in the near term.

  • How it works: It utilizes the Squeeze Watch and Short Bonus overlays to monitor 10-day price performance against high short interest. If a stock is in the bottom 3 deciles and sees price movement above 7% with short interest over 15%, a -2x multiplier is triggered.

  • The Value: It spots explosive short-squeeze potential and momentum breakouts before they are fully priced in, ensuring you aren't the last one into a trade.

  • Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): The predictor mathematically rewards structural valuation safety. It looks for companies trading at deep value discounts—awarding a maximum +20 points when Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales) drops below 1 times, and an additional +25 points when Forward EV/EBITDA is under an incredibly low 2 times threshold. This isolates companies with an asymmetric, un-shortable valuation floor.

  • Finding the Worst (Shorts): This is where non-linear multipliers act as an early-warning system for disaster. When a stock trades at bloated multiples, the engine applies exponential penalties—capping EV/Sales penalties at a massive -100 points if it exceeds 20 times. Furthermore, it integrates a Short Bonus modifier: if a stock is fundamentally weak (bottom 4 deciles) but its 5-day trading volume surges past the market average, the engine strips away an additional -4 points for every 1% above the market average, predicting a rapid fundamental collapse.

True Value of The Trifecta Ratio

The Trifecta Ratio is our quality percentile ranking engine. It measures the ultimate trifecta of corporate excellence: Free Cash Flow (FCF) Margin, Revenue Growth, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). By ranking our entire equity universe from best to worst on a strict percentile basis, it defines structural excellence versus structural bankruptcy.

  • How it works: We rank every stock in our universe from best to worst on a percentile basis across these three specific metrics, looking for the rare intersection of efficiency and expansion.

  • The Value: This identifies "compounders"—companies that are growing fast (10-15%+), generating massive cash, and reinvesting that cash at high rates of return (above 20% ROE/ROIC).

  • Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): To make the Top 25 Long list, a stock must exhibit elite efficiency across all three pillars. The engine isolates businesses that possess a massive FCF Margin (converting sales directly to cash), high-double-digit Revenue Growth, and an ROIC/ROE above 20%. When a company actively backs this up by executing LTM Share Buybacks (earning an extra +10 points), it proves management is efficiently compounding shareholder value.

  • Finding the Worst (Shorts): The bottom tier isolates the ultimate terminal shorts. These are structurally broken businesses that fall into the lowest percentiles—characterized by negative revenue growth, heavily negative ROIC, and a complete lack of share buybacks (triggering a automatic -10 point penalty). To protect capital, the engine pairs these horrific fundamentals with an automated Squeeze Watch overlay: if a stock sits in the bottom 3 deciles but experiences a highly irrational 10-day price surge >7% alongside heavy short interest >15%, a harsh -2x risk multiplier triggers. This highlights high-risk technical dislocations, alerting you exactly when a toxic stock is ripe for a short position or mathematical mean reversion.

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