Master the Markets with Quantitative Data
Our proprietary research suite is designed to strip away market noise and replace it with mathematical conviction. By utilizing a sophisticated scoring engine that ranks equities on both a linear and non-linear basis, we pinpoint the highest-probability trades at the most optimal times.
True Value of The Oddsmaker Score
The Oddsmaker Score is our flagship comprehensive ranking system, serving as a high-precision filter for the investment universe. It programmatically screens stocks through seven core fundamental factors, utilizing a scoring range that rewards momentum and penalizes bloated valuations.
The Odds Are Not Equal.
Most stocks create average returns.
A small percentage create extraordinary wealth.
An equally small percentage destroy it.
The Oddsmaker systematically ranks thousands of companies to identify both.
We Try to Find the Best 1%.
While Avoiding the Worst 1%.
How it works: The engine assigns points based on rigorous data thresholds, such as awarding +25 points for revenue growth above 25% or applying a -3x multiplier (up to -100 points) when Enterprise Value to Sales exceeds 20x.
The Value: By analyzing everything from Return on Equity (ROE) to LTM share buybacks, the score identifies price-to-target asymmetries where the market price sits significantly below analyst targets (scoring as high as +35 points).
Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): The engine actively hunts for elite compounders. It awards a maximum of +25 points for high-velocity top-line expansion (LTM revenue growth >25%) and an immediate +35 points when the current stock price sits severely discounted below sell-side target prices (below 50% of target). It layers on another +25 points for dominant profitability (Return on Equity >20%) and automatically adds a +15 point Long Bonus if the company couples this high ROE with an elite EBITDA margin above 35%.
Finding the Worst (Shorts): The system ruthlessly filters out operational decay. It aggressively docks -25 points for negative revenue growth (declining -10% or worse) and strips away -35 points for deeply negative EBITDA margins. If a company is burning capital with an ROE below -20%, it receives another -25 points, instantly dragging it into the bottom tier.
Some Elements to the Oddsmaker Model
Column Group | What It Measures |
|---|---|
Symbol / Company / Sector / Price | Identity + current market reference |
Score / Percentiles | Final ranking and relative market position |
Score Without Bonus | Pure base-model score |
Score Without Short Scale | Base score plus bonuses before squeeze adjustment |
OM Target / Price-to-Target | Price/value dislocation |
Value / Growth / Quality / Moat / Balance Sheet / Timing | Letter-grade factor buckets |
Raw Scores + Percentiles | Underlying mathematical inputs |
EV/Sales / EV/EBITDA / FCF/EV | Valuation and cash-flow yield |
Revenue Growth / EBITDA Growth | Operating momentum |
FCF Margin / EBITDA Margin / ROE / ROIC | Quality and profitability |
Short Interest / Beta / 200D SMA | Technical and risk variables |
Buybacks / Share Count Growth | Capital allocation and dilution |
Stock-Based Comp % Revenue | Dilution / compensation quality |
R&D / S&M Expense | Reinvestment and cost structure |
Flags | Screening labels such as Most Expensive, Hidden Innovators, Junk Yard, Safety Net |
Top 20 Most Unique Mathematical Elements
# | Element | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
1 | Final Oddsmaker Score vs. Score Without Bonus | Separates pure fundamentals from overlays |
2 | Oddsmaker Score Without Short Scale | Shows what the score was before technical/squeeze adjustment |
3 | Percentile Ranking | Converts raw scores into relative market position |
4 | OM Target | Converts model output into implied price/value |
5 | Price / OM Target | Measures upside or downside mathematically |
6 | Price / Sell-Side Target | Identifies consensus dislocation |
7 | EV/Sales Penalty | Penalizes narrative stocks with extreme revenue multiples |
8 | Forward EV/EBITDA | Rewards future cash-flow cheapness |
9 | FCF/EV Yield | Measures true owner earnings yield |
10 | Revenue Growth Forward | Captures growth momentum |
11 | EBITDA Growth | Captures operating leverage |
12 | FCF Margin | Measures cash conversion quality |
13 | ROE / ROIC | Measures capital efficiency |
14 | EBITDA Margin | Measures business model strength |
15 | Buyback Variable | Rewards shareholder-friendly capital allocation |
16 | Share Count Growth 1Y / 3Y / 5Y | Detects dilution and per-share value destruction |
17 | Short Interest | Adds technical pressure / squeeze risk |
18 | 5-Day Volume / Market Cap Logic | Detects speculative trading intensity |
19 | Squeeze Watch | Penalizes unstable bottom-decile names with sharp price action |
20 | Stock-Based Comp % Revenue | Identifies dilution hidden inside “growth” stories |
True Value of The Oddsmaker Super Multiple Predictor
This tool is designed to identify the "inflection point" where a company’s valuation is likely to expand or contract. By layering non-linear technical risk multipliers over fundamental data, we predict how market multiples will shift in the near term.
How it works: It utilizes the Squeeze Watch and Short Bonus overlays to monitor 10-day price performance against high short interest. If a stock is in the bottom 3 deciles and sees price movement above 7% with short interest over 15%, a -2x multiplier is triggered.
The Value: It spots explosive short-squeeze potential and momentum breakouts before they are fully priced in, ensuring you aren't the last one into a trade.
Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): The predictor mathematically rewards structural valuation safety. It looks for companies trading at deep value discounts—awarding a maximum +20 points when Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales) drops below 1 times, and an additional +25 points when Forward EV/EBITDA is under an incredibly low 2 times threshold. This isolates companies with an asymmetric, un-shortable valuation floor.
Finding the Worst (Shorts): This is where non-linear multipliers act as an early-warning system for disaster. When a stock trades at bloated multiples, the engine applies exponential penalties—capping EV/Sales penalties at a massive -100 points if it exceeds 20 times. Furthermore, it integrates a Short Bonus modifier: if a stock is fundamentally weak (bottom 4 deciles) but its 5-day trading volume surges past the market average, the engine strips away an additional -4 points for every 1% above the market average, predicting a rapid fundamental collapse.
True Value of The Trifecta Ratio
The Trifecta Ratio is our quality percentile ranking engine. It measures the ultimate trifecta of corporate excellence: Free Cash Flow (FCF) Margin, Revenue Growth, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). By ranking our entire equity universe from best to worst on a strict percentile basis, it defines structural excellence versus structural bankruptcy.
How it works: We rank every stock in our universe from best to worst on a percentile basis across these three specific metrics, looking for the rare intersection of efficiency and expansion.
The Value: This identifies "compounders"—companies that are growing fast (10-15%+), generating massive cash, and reinvesting that cash at high rates of return (above 20% ROE/ROIC).
Finding the Top 1% Best (Longs): To make the Top 25 Long list, a stock must exhibit elite efficiency across all three pillars. The engine isolates businesses that possess a massive FCF Margin (converting sales directly to cash), high-double-digit Revenue Growth, and an ROIC/ROE above 20%. When a company actively backs this up by executing LTM Share Buybacks (earning an extra +10 points), it proves management is efficiently compounding shareholder value.
Finding the Worst (Shorts): The bottom tier isolates the ultimate terminal shorts. These are structurally broken businesses that fall into the lowest percentiles—characterized by negative revenue growth, heavily negative ROIC, and a complete lack of share buybacks (triggering a automatic -10 point penalty). To protect capital, the engine pairs these horrific fundamentals with an automated Squeeze Watch overlay: if a stock sits in the bottom 3 deciles but experiences a highly irrational 10-day price surge >7% alongside heavy short interest >15%, a harsh -2x risk multiplier triggers. This highlights high-risk technical dislocations, alerting you exactly when a toxic stock is ripe for a short position or mathematical mean reversion.
Unlock Institutional-Grade Alpha
Why rely on gut feeling when you can trade with quantitative precision? The Oddsmaker delivers the same data-driven insights used by top asset managers straight to your inbox.
