The Oddsmaker Take

Where the best opportunities lie — Energy and the "old-economy cash machines." The long book's center of gravity is unmistakably Energy and value-cyclicals: five of the 25 longs are Energy names (LPG, RRC, IMPP, PARR, CNX), and the bucket screens at an extraordinary average forward EV/EBITDA of just 4.3x with RAVG 92 and FRM 89 — meaning the cheapest multiples in the market are simultaneously the ones with estimates being revised up fastest. That's not an accident: across the full 2,876-name universe, Energy carries the highest conviction of any cyclical sector — a median OM Score of 63.2 (vs. 34.8 for IT) with 91.6% of energy names posting a positive Score. The model is finding torque through two energy paths — natural-gas earnings inflections (RRC at +122% EBITDA, CNX at a staggering +1,010%) and shipping/refining cash gushers (LPG and IMPP throwing off 0.23x FCF/EV, ESEA at 0.29x). The same value logic pulls in Consumer Discretionary (5 longs: BWMX, AFYA, EXPE, GCT, LAUR) and Materials via CF, where the standout is Financials: it's the single strongest sector in the entire universe (median Score 75.9, 95.5% positive), and DLO carries that flag at the top of the book with a perfect 100th-percentile Holy Trinity and +56% forward revenue. The message for these sectors: the market is structurally under-pricing profitable, cash-returning, fundamentally-accelerating businesses — the model sees the best risk-adjusted return in unglamorous places where price hasn't yet caught up to earnings (the cohort's TRS averages just 46).

Where the worst opportunities lie — Information Technology, specifically AI/crypto infrastructure. The short book is a near-monolith: 24 of 25 shorts are Information Technology, which is no surprise given IT screens dead last among growth sectors in the full universe — a median OM Score of just 34.8 and the lowest share of positive-Score names at 67.5%.* But the model isn't shorting "tech" broadly — it's surgically targeting the most speculative corners: AI-infrastructure semis priced for perfection (ALAB at 99x EBITDA, NVTS at 106x sales on revenue falling 45%, AEHR at 663x EBITDA) and crypto miners wearing AI costumes (HUT, RIOT, CORZ, WULF, CLSK, CIFR, APLD), which collectively burn cash — the short cohort averages −40% ROIC, 24x sales, 239x EBITDA, trading at 141% of OM fair value. Critically, the model's own long book also holds seven IT names (ADSK, ADBE, INTU, NVDA, ZM, NTAP, ITRN) — but those are profitable, cash-generative compounders trading at 6–16x EBITDA, the polar opposite of the shorts. That split is the whole story for the sector: IT is the most bifurcated group in the market — the model is long the cheap, durable, cash-rich franchises and short the expensive, unprofitable, high-beta speculation, with the danger flagged in the data (short-cohort beta 3.06, short interest 11.7%, with CLSK at 33% and APLD at 27%). The takeaway for IT as a whole: this isn't a sector to own or avoid wholesale — it's one where dispersion has blown out so far that the same eleven letters of the alphabet contain both the safest longs and the most fragile shorts, and the recent AI/chip sell-off is the market beginning to price exactly that divergence.

The Oddsmaker Top 25 Best Stocks In Data

Want to see why? Click Below.

Rank

Ticker

June 26 Close

Price/SS Target

OM Score

Super Multiple Predictor

Trifecta Ratio

1

MU

$1,183.53

0.79x

86.3

-33.3

98.3%

2

BWMX

$17.70

0.63x

134.2

25.7

98.1%

3

LPG

$36.44

0.71x

108.8

-12.4

92.0%

4

CF

$106.16

0.85x

105.2

-9.3

97.3%

5

AFYA

$14.92

0.90x

140.0

23.9

89.3%

6

ADSK

 $ 195.08

0.61x

104.4

-11.9

98.7%

7

FRO

 $    36.58

0.83x

87.3

-27.6

99.3%

8

RRC

 $    37.42

0.80x

110.2

-5.8

96.4%

9

DELL

 $  393.15

0.79x

81.9

-34.4

93.6%

10

GRND

 $    14.04

0.77x

96.0

-20.1

99.2%

11

GCT

 $     31.72

0.56x

131.5

16.2

92.6%

12

ITRN

 $    61.03

0.83x

88.5

-26.7

97.2%

13

PARR

 $    53.90

0.70x

89.8

-28.5

84.7%

14

IMPP

 $     4.87

0.54x

155.9

46.9

97.8%

15

ESEA

 $     67.61

0.75x

104.9

-19.8

76.8%

16

LAUR

 $    36.80

0.91x

82.2

-34.1

96.8%

17

CNX

 $   34.53

0.89x

105.6

-23.5

72.0%

18

JBL

 $  364.12

0.81x

86.2

-29.9

91.8%

19

ADBE

 $  200.03

0.71x

114.1

0.9

98.4%

20

KYIV

 $    15.28

0.84x

110.0

-6.7

95.8%

21

NTAP

 $   151.06

0.86x

71.1

-47.8

96.1%

22

UBER

 $     74.11

0.69x

88.8

-28.1

95.3%

23

DAVE

 $  321.72

0.94x

80.5

-37.7

98.7%

24

KTB

 $    82.32

0.86x

96.7

-34.3

57.4%

25

ABX

 $      9.52

0.68x

112.0

-10.2

92.1%

The Oddsmaker Top 25 Worst Stocks In Data

Want to see why? Click Below.

Rank

Ticker

June 26 Close

Price/SS Target

OM Score

Super Multiple Predictor

Trifecta Ratio

1

AEHR

 $   92.37

1.29x

-209.8

-435.0

2.5%

2

ALAB

 $ 383.59

1.46x

-126.7

-309.6

99.1%

3

NBIS

 $ 239.89

0.93x

-88.7

-237.4

66.2%

4

HUT

 $   117.43

0.90x

-157.4

-371.2

30.3%

5

RIOT

 $     28.15

0.97x

-80.5

-259.2

6.0%

6

MRAM

 $    21.86

1.21x

-64.3

-208.5

43.1%

7

NVTS

 $      17.12

1.18x

-250.3

-390.3

32.3%

8

WYFI

 $    36.29

0.99x

-113.8

-268.3

32.8%

9

AXTI

 $    68.38

0.71x

-172.1

-359.2

38.7%

10

WULF

 $    25.27

0.70x

-104.6

-301.3

25.2%

11

AIP

 $    42.62

1.12x

-156.9

-320.0

71.0%

12

BE

 $  271.42

0.97x

-88.7

-250.3

83.0%

13

CORZ

 $    26.65

0.81x

-154.3

-300.5

79.8%

14

AAOI

 $   131.33

0.82x

-83.8

-232.8

37.7%

15

MXL

 $    94.98

1.40x

-125.6

-276.9

57.2%

16

VPG

 $  124.89

1.27x

-29.5

-165.7

58.7%

17

VECO

 $     70.11

1.16x

-34.5

-169.2

64.4%

18

LSCC

 $  138.38

0.94x

-57.0

-222.2

88.4%

19

APLD

 $    40.07

0.51x

-26.8

-208.6

36.7%

20

QUIK

 $     17.89

0.76x

-146.8

-296.4

66.7%

21

CLSK

 $    15.90

0.74x

-42.4

-211.3

0.7%

22

VSH

 $    55.16

1.62x

-75.7

-212.0

41.8%

23

DDOG

 $  231.22

0.93x

-43.5

-192.0

88.9%

24

UCTT

 $   114.99

1.07x

-50.2

-188.8

34.3%

25

INTC

 $  129.65

1.35x

-76.6

-236.2

26.3%

Thank you for reading. Come back next week for a new report on the market.

Disclosure & Disclaimer

The Oddsmaker is a financial media and research publication provided for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing contained herein constitutes investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or legal, tax, or accounting advice. The Oddsmaker, its affiliates, employees, contributors, related parties, and associated accounts may hold long, short, or other positions in securities discussed and may buy or sell such securities without notice. Any scores, rankings, ratings, probabilities, expected returns, forecasts, analytics, models, simulations, or backtested results are hypothetical analytical opinions based on assumptions and methodologies that may prove incorrect. They are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes. Information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however, The Oddsmaker makes no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Readers are solely responsible for conducting their own due diligence and consulting qualified financial, legal, tax, and accounting professionals before making investment decisions.

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