Welcome to this week’s Oddsmaker Top 25 Best and Worst. First, a brief update on the recently weekly performance of the Oddsmaker Top 25 Best and Worst Picks:

  • +26.6% average weekly long/short spread — positive in 10 of 10 weeks. The core "does the ranking work" number, and it's strongly positive.

  • Longs up every single week — green all 10 weeks (+4% to +22%), the cleanest signal in the record.

  • Longs beat SPY every week — +8.7% avg weekly excess, 66% long hit rate.

  • Best week: 5-18 at +61% spread (longs +22%, shorts −39%).

Top 25 Best Stocks In The Market Now

1. IMPP — Imperial Petroleum Inc. | OM Score 152.2 (highest OM Score in the book; SMP 24.7, Near Pass, 3/5; EQS 86.1, OLI 57.8, TRS 70.0, ROIC 13.1%, fwd EV/EBITDA 0.2x, fwd EV/Sales 0.09x, net cash/mkt cap +0.90, Holy Trinity 0.97, ~+30% to OM target / ~+73% to SS target). A Greek shipowner operating product tankers and dry-bulk vessels, controlled by the Vafias family. The market treats it as a deep-value micro-cap tanker sitting on a cash pile larger than most of its enterprise value. Bull case: the cheapest name in the book on every multiple (0.2x forward EBITDA), cash equal to ~90% of market cap, and high earnings quality. Bear case: charter/spot-rate cyclicality and related-party governance (Vafias-affiliated management and past dilution). Biggest upside factor: the extreme valuation — near-zero EV multiples with a fortress cash balance. Three main risks to going long: a tanker-rate downcycle, related-party/governance and dilution risk, and micro-cap illiquidity.

2. AII — American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | OM Score 146.1 (SMP 21.1, Near Pass, 4/5; near-perfect Holy Trinity 0.996; TRS 93.3 [highest momentum in book], EQS 85.7, ROIC 19.3%, fwd EV/EBITDA 2.0x, net cash/mkt cap +0.51, ~+29% to OM target). A Florida-focused specialty homeowners insurer that came public in 2025. The market views it as a post-reform Florida hard-market winner still early in its life as a public company. Bull case: an almost perfect Holy Trinity (0.996), the strongest price momentum in the book, high earnings quality, a net-cash balance sheet, and 2x EBITDA. Bear case: heavy Florida catastrophe concentration and a short public track record; RAVG is no-data and OLI is low (39.6). Biggest upside factor: the elite Holy Trinity + raw Score combination (0.996 / OM 146). Three main risks to going long: Florida hurricane/catastrophe losses, reserve and reinsurance-cost pressure, and single-state regulatory/litigation exposure.

3. CMCL — Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc | OM Score 135.0 (SMP 3.9, Near Pass, 3/5; EQS 84.9, OLI 63.5, TRS 56.3, ROIC 11.7%, fwd EV/EBITDA 2.9x, fwd FCF/EV −0.20, Holy Trinity 0.96, ~+27% to OM target / ~+82% to SS target). A gold producer whose core asset is the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe, with the larger Bilboes project in development. The market treats it as a high-leverage gold play carrying Zimbabwe jurisdiction risk. Bull case: strong earnings quality and direct gold-price leverage at under 3x EBITDA, a high Holy Trinity, and large implied upside to the SmartScore target. Bear case: Zimbabwe political/currency/cash-repatriation risk and negative forward free cash flow (−0.20) as Bilboes capex ramps; revisions are the weakest in the book (RAVG 2.1). Biggest upside factor: gold-price leverage combined with a cheap 2.9x EBITDA multiple. Three main risks to going long: Zimbabwe country/currency risk, a gold-price decline, and capex/execution risk on Bilboes (the source of the negative FCF).

4. HRTG — Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | OM Score 133.2 (SMP 1.6, Near Pass, 4/5; TRS 89.9, EQS 86.1, CAS 67.7, ROIC 37.2%, fwd EV/EBITDA 1.6x, net cash/mkt cap +0.51, Holy Trinity 0.91, ~+26% to OM target). A coastal super-regional property & casualty (homeowners) insurer. The market sees a hard-market P&C name trading cheaply against elevated catastrophe exposure. Bull case: the top-ranked earnings quality and near-top momentum in the book, 37% ROIC, a sizable net-cash position, and ~1.6x EBITDA. Bear case: concentrated coastal catastrophe risk and reserve adequacy; RAVG is no-data and OLI is low (42.2). Biggest upside factor: the combination of a very high raw Score and earnings quality (OM 133 / EQS 86) at 1.6x EBITDA. Three main risks to going long: hurricane/catastrophe losses, reinsurance-cost inflation, and reserve/prior-year-development surprises.

5. TREE — LendingTree, Inc. | OM Score 134.7 (SMP 3.5, Near Pass, 4/5; FRM 79.3, CAS 73.3, EQS 62.3, ROIC 25.3%, fwd EV/EBITDA 5.1x, fwd FCF/EV 0.11, net cash/mkt cap −0.75, TRS 3.9 [weakest momentum in book], Holy Trinity 0.92, ~+26% to OM target / ~+83% to SS target). An online marketplace for loans and financial products — mortgage, consumer/personal lending, and insurance lead generation. The market views it as a rate-sensitive lead-gen platform recovering as its insurance vertical booms and rates ease. Bull case: strong forward growth (FRM 79.3), good capital allocation (73.3), 25% ROIC, positive FCF yield, and large SmartScore-target upside. Bear case: the weakest momentum in the book (TRS 3.9), a levered balance sheet (net cash/mkt cap −0.75), and weak revisions (RAVG 9.1). Biggest upside factor: forward-growth acceleration (FRM 79.3) as the insurance segment scales. Three main risks to going long: leverage/refinancing, interest-rate and mortgage-demand sensitivity, and marketing-efficiency/competition pressure in lead generation.

Only 5 individual stocks qualified for the Top 25 Longs this week.

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Top 25 Worst Stocks In The Market Now

1. HTFL — HeartFlow, Inc. | OM Score −177.2 (SMP −251.4, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 83.3, BDR 99.1 [most stretched vs. targets in the book], VSR 84.4; ROIC −61.4%, fwd EV/Sales 14.9x, short interest 7.9%, beta 1.89, Holy Trinity 0.29, ~−35% to OM target). An AI cardiac-imaging company whose FFR-CT analysis models coronary blood flow from CT scans; IPO'd in 2025. The market treats it as a high-growth medtech disrupting invasive angiography. Bear case: trades at ~15x sales and 1.5x the model's target with deeply negative returns (−61% ROIC) and the most stretched price-vs-target reading in the book. Bull case (risk to short): reimbursement wins and procedure-volume ramps could sustain the growth narrative. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 99.1) — price is furthest above model fair value of any name. Three main risks to going short: a post-IPO momentum bid, reimbursement/adoption catalysts, and its 7.9% short interest amplifying any squeeze.

2. BFLY — Butterfly Network, Inc. | OM Score −120.9 (SMP −199.4, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 84.0, BDR 91.4, VSR 92.2; ROIC −32.3%, fwd EV/Sales 18.7x, short interest 12.3%, beta 2.19, Holy Trinity 0.44, ~−24% to OM target). A handheld, semiconductor-based point-of-care ultrasound maker. The market views it as a cheap-hardware disruptor of imaging with a software/subscription upside. Bear case: ~19x sales on negative returns, high volatility, and a weak quality profile. Bull case (risk to short): new probe cycles, AI features, or a device-plus-software re-rating. Biggest downside factor: multiple compression (MCR 84) from an unsustainable ~19x sales multiple. Three main risks to going short: 12.3% short interest with beta >2, product-launch or partnership news, and its low absolute price making percentage squeezes violent.

3. AEHR — Aehr Test Systems, Inc. | OM Score −152.2 (SMP −340.4, Strict Pass, 3/5; MCR 88.8, BDR 77.1, VSR 95.7 [near-top squeeze risk]; ROIC −3.9%, fwd EV/Sales 23.6x, short interest 13.2%, beta 4.68, Holy Trinity 0.44, ~−30% to OM target). A maker of semiconductor burn-in and test systems, historically levered to silicon-carbide/EV and now AI-datacenter demand. The market treats it as a boom-bust cyclical whipsawing on customer-concentration news. Bear case: a strict-pass short on Score and SMP at ~24x sales with negligible returns. Bull case (risk to short): a single large order or AI-test design win can double the stock. Biggest downside factor: the extreme Score/SMP breakdown combined with a 24x-sales multiple. Three main risks to going short: an enormous 4.68 beta, 13.2% short interest, and binary customer-order catalysts.

4. ASST — Strive, Inc. | OM Score −170.7 (SMP −310.7, Strict Pass, 5/5 [full short signature]; MCR 85.5, BDR 72.4, VSR 98.9 [highest squeeze risk in book]; ROIC −141.5%, fwd EV/Sales 188x, short interest 25.9%, beta 3.77, Holy Trinity 0.25, ~−34% to OM target). Vivek Ramaswamy's asset-management firm, now operating as a Bitcoin-treasury vehicle (the model still carries a stale "Health Care" sector tag from its Asset Entities predecessor). The market treats it as a leveraged, premium-to-NAV crypto proxy. Bear case: a perfect 5/5 short signature, ~188x sales, and catastrophic returns as the mNAV premium looks unsustainable. Bull case (risk to short): a rising Bitcoin price plus retail enthusiasm can inflate the premium further. Biggest downside factor: the volatility/squeeze profile (VSR 98.9) paired with a treasury-premium that can collapse fast. Three main risks to going short: 25.9% short interest with beta 3.77, Bitcoin-price rallies, and treasury-vehicle capital-raise/announcement pops.

5. SNOW — Snowflake Inc. | OM Score −100.5 (SMP −270.5, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 88.3, BDR 97.5, VSR 73.4; ROIC −24.4%, fwd EV/Sales 17.6x, short interest 5.5%, beta 1.47, Holy Trinity 0.74, ~−20% to OM target). The leading cloud data-warehouse/"data cloud" platform. The market views it as a premier AI-data beneficiary with durable consumption growth. Bear case: ~18x sales and price far above model targets (BDR 97.5) with still-negative GAAP returns. Bull case (risk to short): AI-workload acceleration and margin inflection are the consensus long thesis and could keep the multiple elevated. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 97.5) — richly valued versus the model's fair value. Three main risks to going short: it's the highest-quality, most-owned name on this list (lowest squeeze mechanics but strongest fundamental bid), AI-narrative multiple support, and beat-and-raise quarters.

6. UMAC — Unusual Machines, Inc. | OM Score −168.0 (SMP −237.7, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 83.0, BDR 73.6, VSR 98.4; ROIC −2.9%, fwd EV/Sales 13.7x, short interest 18.9%, beta 4.57, Holy Trinity 0.39, ~−33% to OM target). A small US maker of FPV drones and drone components, boosted by "Made-in-America" defense-drone sentiment (and prior Trump-family investor attention). The market treats it as a policy/theme momentum stock. Bear case: ~14x sales, negligible returns, and a valuation driven by narrative rather than earnings. Bull case (risk to short): US drone-sourcing policy or defense contracts could re-ignite the theme. Biggest downside factor: the squeeze/volatility profile (VSR 98.4) atop thin fundamentals. Three main risks to going short: beta 4.57 with 18.9% short interest, defense/policy headline catalysts, and micro-float mechanics.

7. RBRK — Rubrik, Inc. | OM Score −51.2 (SMP −210.0, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 87.2, BDR 94.2, VSR 79.2; ROIC −122.0%, fwd EV/Sales 11.6x, short interest 6.2%, beta 1.96, Holy Trinity 0.70, ~−10% to OM target). A cloud data-security and backup/recovery ("cyber resilience") platform. The market views it as a high-growth security name riding ransomware-recovery demand. Bear case: ~12x sales, price above target, and deeply negative returns (−122% ROIC). Bull case (risk to short): security spending is defensive and Rubrik's growth/retention could justify the multiple. Biggest downside factor: multiple compression (MCR 87) if security-software multiples normalize. Three main risks to going short: strong secular security demand, a relatively modest ~−10% implied downside (least stretched of the top tier), and beat-driven re-rating.

8. GTLB — GitLab Inc. | OM Score −31.4 (SMP −175.6, Composite, 3/5; MCR 78.4, BDR 96.0, VSR 88.1; ROIC −2.7%, fwd EV/Sales 5.0x, short interest 11.3%, beta 1.70, Holy Trinity 0.76, ~−6% to OM target). An all-in-one DevOps/DevSecOps software platform. The market treats it as an AI-coding beneficiary with improving margins. Bear case: price well above the model's target (BDR 96) even after de-rating to ~5x sales. Bull case (risk to short): AI-assisted-development tailwinds and a possible takeout keep a floor under it. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 96). Three main risks to going short: M&A/takeout speculation, the AI-coding narrative, and only ~−6% implied downside (thin margin of safety on the short).

9. HIMS — Hims & Hers Health, Inc. | OM Score −73.9 (SMP −212.7, Near Pass, 2/5 [weakest short signature in book]; MCR 64.9, BDR 94.6, VSR 96.1; ROIC −8.2%, fwd EV/Sales 2.3x, short interest 26.7%, beta 2.37, Holy Trinity 0.77, ~−15% to OM target). A direct-to-consumer telehealth platform (dermatology, sexual health, weight-loss/GLP-1). The market views it as a fast-growing consumer-health brand. Bear case: price stretched far above target with a volatile, momentum-driven tape. Bull case (risk to short): GLP-1 and subscriber growth are real and it's actually profitable-ish on an adjusted basis — the thinnest short signature here (2/5). Biggest downside factor: behavioral/volatility dislocation (BDR 94.6, VSR 96.1). Three main risks to going short: a very high 26.7% short interest (severe squeeze potential), GLP-1/weight-loss momentum, and its comparatively reasonable ~2.3x sales multiple.

10. U — Unity Software Inc. | OM Score −32.0 (SMP −184.1, Composite, 3/5; MCR 82.5, BDR 92.2, VSR 86.6; ROIC −10.3%, fwd EV/Sales 8.6x, short interest 7.8%, beta 2.46, Holy Trinity 0.73, ~−6% to OM target). The dominant real-time 3D game engine plus an advertising/monetization business. The market treats it as a turnaround after its ad-platform (Grow/Vector) reset. Bear case: ~9x sales and price above target despite ongoing losses. Bull case (risk to short): the ad-engine rebuild and AI/3D tooling could drive a re-rating. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 92). Three main risks to going short: turnaround-execution upside, beta 2.46 volatility, and only ~−6% implied downside.

11. AI — C3.ai, Inc. | OM Score −157.7 (SMP −221.8, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 70.5, BDR 84.3, VSR 95.9; ROIC −58.4%, fwd EV/Sales 4.8x, fwd FCF/EV −0.10, short interest 29.8% [highest in book], beta 2.28, Holy Trinity 0.01 [near-worst], ~−31% to OM target). An enterprise-AI application-software vendor. The market treats it as a pure-play AI name with heavy government/energy exposure and persistent losses. Bear case: near-worst Holy Trinity (0.01), negative FCF, and a weak Score/SMP breakdown. Bull case (risk to short): any "AI" headline or large contract can spike it, and 29.8% short interest is combustible. Biggest downside factor: the collapse in fundamental quality (Holy Trinity 0.01) alongside cash burn. Three main risks to going short: the highest short interest in the book (extreme squeeze risk), AI-narrative headline sensitivity, and government-contract announcements.

12. COIN — Coinbase Global, Inc. | OM Score −58.8 (SMP −219.0, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 92.5 [highest compression risk in book], BDR 76.8, VSR 84.1; ROIC −5.4%, fwd EV/Sales 8.4x, short interest 8.3%, beta 2.51, Holy Trinity 0.34, ~−12% to OM target). The largest US crypto exchange. The market views it as the blue-chip, regulated crypto-cycle proxy. Bear case: the book's highest multiple-compression risk (MCR 92.5) — earnings are hostage to crypto volumes that can evaporate. Bull case (risk to short): a crypto bull market and stablecoin/regulatory tailwinds can drive huge upside. Biggest downside factor: multiple compression (MCR 92.5) on cyclical, volume-dependent earnings. Three main risks to going short: Bitcoin/crypto rallies, beta 2.51, and regulatory-clarity or product (stablecoin) catalysts.

13. LPTH — LightPath Technologies, Inc. | OM Score −92.8 (SMP −150.5, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 80.1, BDR 81.1, VSR 95.2; ROIC −24.9%, fwd EV/Sales 9.8x, short interest 15.9%, beta 2.93, Holy Trinity 0.59, ~−18% to OM target). A maker of infrared optics and optical components with growing defense/imaging exposure. The market treats it as a small-cap defense-optics momentum play. Bear case: ~10x sales on negative returns, richly valued versus target. Bull case (risk to short): defense contracts and a pivot to higher-value engineered optics could sustain the run. Biggest downside factor: the volatility/squeeze profile (VSR 95.2) on a thin-float name. Three main risks to going short: 15.9% short interest with beta 2.93, defense-order catalysts, and micro-cap liquidity.

14. SBET — SharpLink, Inc. | OM Score −90.8 (SMP −291.8, Near Pass, 5/5 [full short signature]; MCR 88.7, BDR 64.7, VSR 95.1; ROIC −183.6%, fwd EV/Sales 27.9x, short interest 18.6%, beta 2.46, Holy Trinity 0.25, ~−18% to OM target). Formerly a sports-betting affiliate-marketing firm, now an Ethereum-treasury company holding ETH on its balance sheet. The market treats it as a leveraged ETH proxy trading at a premium to crypto holdings. Bear case: a perfect 5/5 short signature, ~28x sales, and −184% ROIC as the treasury premium looks fragile. Bull case (risk to short): a rising Ether price plus treasury-accumulation announcements can inflate the premium. Biggest downside factor: the extreme Score/SMP breakdown plus a collapsing mNAV premium (MCR 88.7). Three main risks to going short: Ethereum rallies, 18.6% short interest with beta 2.46, and capital-raise/ETH-purchase headlines.

15. WGS — GeneDx Holdings Corp. | OM Score −59.1 (SMP −214.9, Near Pass, 5/5; MCR 78.9, BDR 91.4, VSR 81.2; ROIC −26.5%, fwd EV/Sales 4.9x, short interest 19.6%, beta 0.78 [lowest in book], Holy Trinity 0.22, ~−12% to OM target). A genomic/exome-sequencing diagnostics company focused on rare disease. The market views it as a genomics turnaround that has scaled exome volumes sharply. Bear case: a 5/5 short signature and weak quality (Holy Trinity 0.22) after a huge run. Bull case (risk to short): exome-testing volume growth and reimbursement momentum are genuine — and the low 0.78 beta means it doesn't behave like the meme names. Biggest downside factor: the full short signature combined with a stretched price-vs-target (BDR 91.4). Three main risks to going short: continued exome-volume beats, 19.6% short interest, and the low beta making it a "grind-up" rather than fade.

16. PLSE — Pulse Biosciences, Inc. | OM Score −169.4 (SMP −309.4, Strict Pass, 5/5; MCR 85.5, BDR 99.2 [most stretched in book], VSR 59.1; ROIC −73.1%, fwd EV/Sales 861x [essentially pre-revenue], short interest 4.2%, beta 0.74, Holy Trinity 0.28, ~−33% to OM target). A medical-device company commercializing nanosecond-pulsed-field ("Nano-Pulse") tissue-ablation technology. The market treats it as a pre-revenue clinical-stage story valued on future indications (cardiac, thyroid). Bear case: a strict-pass 5/5 short at ~861x sales with the most stretched price-to-target reading in the entire book. Bull case (risk to short): FDA clearances or clinical data in new indications could re-rate it higher. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 99.2) at a pre-revenue multiple. Three main risks to going short: FDA/clinical catalysts, a low 4.2% short interest and 0.74 beta (so it can drift up without squeeze pressure), and its concentrated insider/backer ownership.

17. SPCE — Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. | OM Score −133.1 (SMP −205.4, Near Pass, 5/5; MCR 77.7, BDR 66.8, VSR 98.6; ROIC −35.2%, fwd EV/Sales 8.1x, fwd FCF/EV −0.51 [heaviest cash burn in book], short interest 25.5%, beta 3.72, Holy Trinity 0.001 [worst in book], ~−26% to OM target). A suborbital space-tourism operator building its next-gen Delta-class ships. The market treats it as a speculative, pre-scale-revenue story burning cash toward a 2026 commercial ramp. Bear case: the worst Holy Trinity in the book (0.001) and enormous cash burn (FCF/EV −0.51) with a 5/5 short signature. Bull case (risk to short): Delta-ship milestones or capital raises can spike a heavily-shorted low-priced stock. Biggest downside factor: cash burn and dilution risk against near-zero fundamental quality. Three main risks to going short: 25.5% short interest with beta 3.72 (violent squeeze potential), spaceflight/milestone headlines, and its sub-$5 price magnifying percentage moves.

18. SDGR — Schrödinger, Inc. | OM Score −73.5 (SMP −136.6, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 71.1, BDR 90.2, VSR 93.2; ROIC −12.2%, fwd EV/Sales 4.9x, fwd FCF/EV −0.13, short interest 14.7%, beta 2.22, Holy Trinity 0.03, ~−14% to OM target). A computational drug-discovery software company that also co-develops its own drug pipeline. The market views it as a physics-based-simulation platform with optionality on its wholly-owned pipeline. Bear case: near-bottom Holy Trinity (0.03), negative FCF, and price stretched above target. Bull case (risk to short): software-revenue acceleration or a pipeline/partnership readout could re-rate it. Biggest downside factor: weak fundamental quality (Holy Trinity 0.03) plus cash burn. Three main risks to going short: clinical/partnership catalysts, 14.7% short interest with beta 2.22, and lumpy software-license revenue that can beat.

19. FCEL — FuelCell Energy, Inc. | OM Score −95.0 (SMP −162.8, Near Pass, 5/5; MCR 76.7, BDR 74.2, VSR 96.3; ROIC −25.6%, fwd EV/Sales 7.4x, fwd FCF/EV −0.07, short interest 19.9%, beta 2.72, Holy Trinity 0.03, ~−19% to OM target). A stationary fuel-cell power-platform maker (carbonate fuel cells, distributed generation). The market treats it as a perennially-dilutive clean-energy story riding hydrogen/AI-datacenter-power sentiment. Bear case: a 5/5 short signature, chronic cash burn, and near-bottom quality. Bull case (risk to short): hydrogen policy or datacenter-power demand narratives can spark sharp rallies. Biggest downside factor: the volatility/squeeze profile (VSR 96.3) atop weak fundamentals and dilution. Three main risks to going short: 19.9% short interest with beta 2.72, clean-energy/datacenter-power headlines, and equity-raise-timing volatility.

20. NVTS — Navitas Semiconductor Corporation | OM Score −231.8 (most negative OM Score in the book; SMP −371.8, Strict Pass, 4/5; MCR 85.0, BDR 58.8, VSR 95.0; ROIC −52.1%, fwd EV/Sales 46.1x, short interest 15.1%, beta 4.74 [highest in book], Holy Trinity 0.15, ~−46% to OM target [largest implied downside]). A gallium-nitride and silicon-carbide power-semiconductor designer that re-rated violently on an NVIDIA 800V-datacenter-power partnership. The market treats it as a high-beta AI-power-infrastructure bet. Bear case: the worst Score/SMP in the book, ~46x sales, and the largest implied downside (~−46%). Bull case (risk to short): NVIDIA/AI-power design-win momentum can extend the mania. Biggest downside factor: the extreme Score/SMP breakdown paired with a 46x-sales multiple. Three main risks to going short: the highest beta in the book (4.74), AI/NVIDIA partnership headlines, and 15.1% short interest.

21. FIG — Figma, Inc. | OM Score −53.2 (SMP −203.1, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 83.6, BDR 80.4, VSR 81.6; ROIC −103.9%, fwd EV/Sales 7.9x, short interest 11.3%, beta 1.17, Holy Trinity 0.77, ~−10% to OM target). The collaborative interface-design software platform, public since its 2025 IPO. The market views it as a category-defining design tool expanding into AI-assisted product development. Bear case: negative returns (−104% ROIC, IPO-comp distorted) and price above target after the post-IPO run. Bull case (risk to short): a beloved product, strong net retention, and AI-design features underpin a durable premium. Biggest downside factor: multiple compression (MCR 84) as post-IPO enthusiasm fades. Three main risks to going short: post-IPO lockup/momentum dynamics, the AI-design narrative, and only ~−10% implied downside with a modest 1.17 beta.

22. AMPL — Amplitude, Inc. | OM Score −33.3 (SMP −176.8, Composite, 2/5 [weak short signature]; MCR 73.4, BDR 93.9, VSR 79.1; ROIC −46.3%, fwd EV/Sales 3.4x, short interest 6.1%, beta 1.83, Holy Trinity 0.65, ~−7% to OM target). A digital-analytics/product-intelligence software platform. The market treats it as a recovering SaaS name stabilizing net-revenue retention. Bear case: price above target (BDR 93.9) with negative returns. Bull case (risk to short): at only ~3.4x sales with a 2/5 short signature and improving retention, it's the least-conviction short here — a re-acceleration would hurt. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 93.9). Three main risks to going short: the thin 2/5 signature and low ~−7% downside, potential enterprise-deal re-acceleration, and its relatively cheap multiple.

23. RUM — Rumble, Inc. | OM Score −105.0 (SMP −266.0, Near Pass, 5/5; MCR 84.6, BDR 68.2, VSR 83.9; ROIC −14.1%, fwd EV/Sales 8.8x, short interest 6.7%, beta 3.25, Holy Trinity 0.34, ~−21% to OM target; note P/SS target 0.41). A video-sharing and cloud-services platform positioned as a free-speech alternative to YouTube, with a crypto/Bitcoin-treasury and Tether-backed capital angle. The market treats it as a politically-themed growth-and-crypto story. Bear case: a 5/5 short signature, ~9x sales, and negative returns. Bull case (risk to short): its Bitcoin treasury, Tether backing, and a loyal user base can drive sentiment-fueled spikes — and note the model's SmartScore target actually sits above price (P/SS 0.41), an internal signal split. Biggest downside factor: the full short signature against a rich sales multiple. Three main risks to going short: beta 3.25 with crypto/treasury catalysts, political/user-growth sentiment, and the conflicting SS-target signal.

24. MP — MP Materials Corp. | OM Score −59.9 (SMP −236.0, Near Pass, 4/5; MCR 87.5, BDR 60.0, VSR 92.5; ROIC −2.3%, fwd EV/Sales 16.9x, short interest 15.9%, beta 2.16, Holy Trinity 0.38, ~−12% to OM target). The largest US rare-earth miner (Mountain Pass) building magnet-manufacturing capacity, with a DoD price-floor and equity partnership. The market treats it as the strategic domestic rare-earth/magnet champion. Bear case: ~17x sales and high compression risk (MCR 87.5) with negligible current returns. Bull case (risk to short): US-government backing, rare-earth supply-security policy, and magnet-capacity ramp make this a politically-supported name — the most dangerous short on the list fundamentally. Biggest downside factor: multiple compression (MCR 87.5) if rare-earth prices don't cooperate. Three main risks to going short: government/DoD support and pricing floors, rare-earth price spikes, and 15.9% short interest with beta 2.16.

25. BBNX — Beta Bionics, Inc. | OM Score −87.0 (SMP −139.9, Near Pass, 3/5; MCR 68.8, BDR 92.4, VSR 85.2; ROIC −25.6%, fwd EV/Sales 4.4x, fwd FCF/EV −0.13, short interest 16.9%, beta 1.09, Holy Trinity 0.31, ~−17% to OM target). A medical-device maker of the iLet "bionic pancreas" automated insulin-delivery system. The market views it as an insulin-pump challenger taking share in automated diabetes management. Bear case: negative returns, cash burn, and price stretched well above target (BDR 92.4). Bull case (risk to short): pump-placement growth and payer coverage are real clinical tailwinds, and the low 1.09 beta means it won't necessarily crack quickly. Biggest downside factor: behavioral dislocation (BDR 92.4) plus negative FCF. Three main risks to going short: device-adoption/coverage catalysts, 16.9% short interest, and competitive-dynamics surprises in the insulin-pump market.

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